WR🌚NGUSER @wronguser0000

Frog is still here, doing more of the same, appreciate all the DMs friends I’m doing well Felt like stepping back a bit from the public figure side of things, just out of respect for my own peace of mind so I can open up to new things as well The current landscape of people that get most of the crypto audience’s attention is quite concerning though, main part of CT is literally void of unique thoughts and perspectives on the present and future of our space Literally seeing the same posts with absolutely no nuances every single day for the past year as I open this app, the world sounds either black or white here, no middle ground, no room for error, just pure blind and naive confidence Some of y’all are doing a great job though and you know who you are since I keep liking and interacting with your posts on a weekly basis That said, nothing has changed but the overall conditions, keep doing you, keep building your own thesis and stop listening to all the bullshit you see on the timeline daily Confirmation bias is your worst enemy, believe in yourself and keep winning fam Love from frog to all my friends

Patience takes time to translate into visible results, on the other hand the second you lose it it shows instantly Most of you tend to overtrade in the worst possible conditions and somehow play it safe when things get easier because you got burned Other way round fam

Every market inefficiency is getting filled over time, every single one no exception If you’re trying to make money here, you’re running against time, your edge erodes every single day, you have to reinvent yourself and adapt to new dynamics as they come in Yapping about the fact you hate them won’t change anything, adapt or bust Also stop making scenarios in your head and expect something from the market, it doesn’t care about you, your hopes, your fears or your expectations, it just goes on with or without you Nobody is responsible for your results but you, hard to admit when everything goes to shit but pleasant to feel when things finally go north and only you can take credit for it

Airdrops are dead, long live airdrops While yapping about the fact it was essentially over, most of the market missed the window to get exposure to one of most significant drop ever from a r:r pov I hate to say it but if I told you my base case, you wouldn’t believe it I’ve seen no significant mentions of it in the last 12 months meanwhile the project has a huge warchest, is a clear market leader on every single metrics in its own niche, has seen crazy growth in a bunch of other crypto related fields and NO TOKEN, I call that airdrop attention capitulation at its finest As always, when everything looks dead there’s always something shiny in the dark, but to see the light you gotta open your eyes and believe in what you see If you took $ME seriously, there are huge chances you’re going to love the yield off it That said, frog is not affiliated with Magic Eden and has no financial incentives in tweeting about them, make your own decisions regarding this upcoming token Frog will see you in the purple arena very soon

Probably the clearest directional signal you could get from a $BTC chart rn is on the monthly timeframe One box to rule them all Lose it and it's months of chop sub 60K again, hold it and we're on track for 6 figs per corn in a relatively close future WWIII, new global pandemic, debt crisis, rate cuts, carry trade unwinds, elections, banking failures, anything you can think about will be priced in on this chart, to be clear i'm not taking any other source of information in consideration for my up or down bias than this chart

Never forget where we came from Two years later and $SOL/ETH is the hottest chart in town

WR☻NGUSER ✗ @wronguser000

4 years ago

ladies and gentlemen $SOL/ETH all time low 3 days ago, 9 weeks of pain

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The most important thing in our highly speculative niche world is attention, when attention leaves the room it’s usually cooked because things need every reason to go up but actually none to bleed to death Every single coin has a limited amount of mindshare and you need to figure this out especially in such a PvP environment Some things are never coming back because market participants’ attention will simply never come back to it If you have a good amount of time capital on your hands and want to use it to extract money from this market the best strategy from my pov is definitely to always be liquid and ride trends in and out without trying to find and hold the ultimate runner, what I mean by that is most things have very limited attention capital (greatly reduced in the past few years by Tiktok type of content and a whole generation molded in infinite scrolling and cheap gratification) and thinking you just caught the next WIF or PENDLE will probably cost you more longterm than learning to be consistent at making profits on everything It’s not only costing you money but it also wires your brain in some way that is hard to rewire later on, costing you a huge amount of time as well at the end of the day Unfortunately insane returns and big numbers is what gets the most engagement here so of course you wanna dream big, but in the small of consistent winners even those huge numbers are exceptions, don’t get fooled Win and compound on one of the only reliable thing that exist in this market since its inception and that will survive until the degeneracy of humans is fixed by extinction: attention Keep winning fam Frog

For anyone that lost significant part of their portfolio today, keep your head up This is definitely not the last time you’ll wake up to such market drawdowns and you gotta use this moment to extract as much experience as you can None of this gets lost unless you give up

Speculation was NFTs biggest usecase, this feature is now mostly gone making their chance of comeback to 2021 kind of craze pretty low As time passes dilution slowly kills your chances of hitting high on any inefficient niches, sometimes it will last a year sometimes it will be filled and EV- in less than a day The most important thing is to learn to move on and open your eyes to what’s happening in the market today, most people usually follow attention instead of money flows: they discover a "new" meta on CT which they are relatively late to and they’ll spend an insane amount of time trying to squeeze the last bit of it while something more interesting with no social validation is already brewing somewhere else And this loop repeats forever 90% of traders wouldn’t be losers if social validation was a thing, just saying You can almost always be ahead in this market but you gotta believe in your ability to do so, nobody will show you the way here you gotta trust yourself

$SOL to 1K USD is unironically not that insane when you make the calcs If total crypto market goes 2x (currently $2.4T) and SOL.D reaches 10% (currently 3.69%) it can actually reach 800-900 USD per coin Frog wouldn't bet the pond on it but it's not as absurd as it sounds

Solana was sub $80 here On chain data never lies, only people do 7 months forward Solana is casually still number 1 on DEX volume for the day, past week and past month outpacing BSC on time spent over Ethereum in DEX volume $SOL relative strength just made sense and still does

WR☻NGUSER ✗ @wronguser000

2 years ago

Yesterday Solana DEX volume overtook Ethereum DEX volume for the first time in history and this got me thinking, did it happen with any other chain before? In fact it did, and let me tell you the data is very interesting The only other chain that was able to achieve such a

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Multi year grind up with close to no significant pullbacks just like gold did from 2004 to 2011 after ETF launched, decorrelation with past 4 year cycles pattern Unironically and I'll dare using the four forbidden words: this time is different, whatever that means to you Don't get shaken out from this place, a few years from now it will appear so obvious it was the best moment to lock in and extract as much money as you possibly had the energy for Never in human history before it was that cheap to buy your own freedom

The world is being shaped before our eyes with no shame, we’re just brain dead sheeps to them, numbers on a paper they regulate by the tip of their hands Pick your poison or do anything you can to escape it The matrix is real

Listen, I think most of y’all over trade way too much and it’s a combination of boredom and the addiction of always being in a position I’d say that boredom tends to lead to that gambling like addiction Trying to feel something from the market when it’s completely dead leads to finding all kind of dogshit reasons to enter questionable trades in which you got no edge on and eventually lose money in So if I had one advice for those of you that struggle with burning capital on some dumb shit it would be to find pretty much anything (related or unrelated to crypto) to work on/spend some time on when the market environment doesn’t fit your trading abilities Even if you consider yourself a trader, being in a position should be the exception rather than the norm Build patience and keep winning

Arm wrestling the invisible hand of the market (Obliterating it)

So once again, an airdrop everybody farmed was underwhelming? What a surprise Even the biggest ponzi maker of the past year wasn't able to trick the market to a higher valuation Frog said it multiple times already, rules have changed: adapt or end up wasting your time and capital once again on the next hugely diluted hidden yield farm while expecting some Arbitrum-esque returns If you need to hear it clearly: it's definitely not happening And remember, the market doesn't care about your hopes and expectations even if you spent so much time grinding for them

WR☻NGUSER ✗ @wronguser000

2 years ago

Funny how the whole market reacts the same way to the same narrative just like it has a collective consciousness that leads every single participant in the same direction If everybody around you agrees with your thesis, you prob got the thesis wrong It's just as how it is, frog

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Funny how the whole market reacts the same way to the same narrative just like it has a collective consciousness that leads every single participant in the same direction If everybody around you agrees with your thesis, you prob got the thesis wrong It's just as how it is, frog doesnt make the rules I know I have the best bet when nobody has the same one and it's been happening a few times a year, that's usually when frogs capital goes balistic Also, you guys been asking me why I don't share stuff like I used to before, the thing is frog makes most of his money filling inefficiencies, the longer they go for the most yield I'm able to extract And for an inefficiency to stay inefficient you need the market to not notice what's going on, the fact is this account grew way too big to keep sharing sensible opportunities I hate to say it but there's no upside in sharing anything publicly when you can fill every solid opportunity yourself And that's the reason why this acc grew into some kind of motivational larping frog lately, for better or worse Anyway, keep winning fam, frog surely still is

Intuition is my best edge You might ask me why did I stable at the top, my answer is literally idk I did so because my unconscious alarm told me to do so Some things can't be taught Screw the data, charts, opinions It's be one with the flow type of energy

If you do something, commit to it more than others otherwise you should be satisfied hitting the average The reality is there is no free lunch, there's fast money but no easy money, never ever And everything has a price

Most of you guys sitting in "6 figures hell" (i hate the fact im using those words) could literally exploit every good opportunity in the market right now, one at a time and instead you spread it out way too much trying to catch every fish Low 6 figures is generally the perfect amount to navigate any niche without substential impact on it Find your edge and OBLITERATE it until you have too much capital to navigate it without being the big fish everybody follows Being focused on very few things might be boring but at least you make money by getting very good at it Do you want to make money or do you want to entertain yourself? Improve skill 1, get good at skill 1, make money, improve skill 2, get good at skill 1 and skill 2, make money, improve skill 3, get good at skill 1, skill 2 and skill 3, make money All over again At the end of the day all these layers of skills add up and make who you are as a trader and more generally who you are as a person if you extend this to life