Ben Walker @BNHWalker
Co-Founder of @BritainElects. Senior Data Journalist for the @NewStatesman. Borough Councillor for Chester's city centre, West Cheshire bwalker.uk United Kingdom Joined March 2017-
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Pleased to announce Britain Predicts (v.5) will be back for public use later this month, including a return to much missed Create Your Own poll-led forecasts. The model is the best it's been. I'm very proud of it. And I look forward to your dunks + my panicked edits post-release
It's the definitive article thetimes.com/article/3a8f54…
Really interesting is Queensbury, one of the few wards in the country to vote in BNP in 2010 during a general election, only went Reform by 43% in May. Other surrounding more resiliant wards went Reform by +50
I am reminded of almost every Labour ad in the Runcorn by-election bearing Starmer's face ??????????
It's why Starmer visiting is the greatest sabotage Labour can have on the Labour campaign in Makerfield.
4. While the groups split on Kenyon vs Burnham, they are united in dislike of the PM. This is very definitely one of the more hostile areas for Starmer we've visited. For some vote Burnham to get Starmer out is attractive, for others it's hard to conceive voting Labour might be
This kind of campaigning is designed to appease anti-Reform voters, not appeal to Reform-minded voters. Absolutely asinine approach.
The BNP still providing support through the coronavirus crisis
Good cllrs know when groups like these speak for resident angst, or a select set who wish to remake the neighbourhood in their own image. Cllrs who doorknock on the regular to go beyond these groups and get real resident feeling won't be quite as lickspittled as those that don't.
The Soho Society is objecting to *every* new bar/restaurant licence in what is supposed to be the centre of London’s nightlife. More planning/licensing insanity. I asked them to come on my Sunday LBC show: "We will absolutely not be taking questions from journalists". Of course
@Off_DanielH1 It's real but hard to quantify, Reform have a whole approach if they find a Restore voter on the doorstep. So given they're taking it seriously I suppose we ought to too.
Britain Predicts v.5 in the works, guess the seat
@housingpaul Lib Dems would do better than that
Ben Walker retweeted
The problem with Blair’s essay is not the diagnosis or the solutions. It is that it is irrelevant to the big issues facing Britain. Like so much of our establishment, Blair does not want to discuss how bad things really are. My latest for @NewStatesman - click the link below 👇
@LabourBerry They already get annoyed at being forgotten, don't make it worse !
@owenblairite A very astute guess and I wouldn't have been surprised if it was, but no
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