Deep Sail Capital @DeepSailCapital
Quality, Growth, and Microcap Investor. Long/Short GARP Investment Fund, email: [email protected] Shorts & Squeeze Corner: https://shortscorner.substack deepsailcapital.com Joined June 2013-
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Followers57K
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Following1K
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@SixSigmaCapital Right now it’s peak disruption though, no one knows 2-3 year out earnings on anything related to AI, and what happens after that.
$FIVE - Earnings tonight. I think they beat. You probably hear the word “Squishy” and “Dumpling” as part of why.
@Compounding_K They need to eventually bring back Q&A, but execution is key right now. I will speak to management in a few weeks and will suggest it to them
$NURS.v Q1 report significantly derisks the 2026 guidance. Great results and proves out all that management has talked about for the last 2 years.
$nurs.v $vst.cn Hydreight Q4 earnings, strong results, not a surprise as it was aligned with the guidance. 449% YOY revenue growth, while YOY operating expenses grew 40%, and 67% revenue growth QOQ, while QOQ operating expenses stayed the same. Amazing operating leverage. $2.6
$SPCE Meme > SpaceX IPO open.substack.com/pub/shortscorn…
@Valueman53997 This one. And $CSU.TO
@ClarkSquareCap $CLBT - They just announced a new AI product that they say will have a $12B TAM which is the same size as their TAM of their current offering. From what they say the product is already in high demand. I think their ARR growth will take off in Q3 and stock will jump 50%.
There’s going to be some huge SaaS AI winners this year. 1️⃣ SaaS market sold off on worries about AI disruption 2️⃣ AI didn’t disrupt SaaS companies 3️⃣ AI actually materially expanded SaaS TAMs with new product offerings. It’s like the perfect storm for SaaS AI winners.
@DumbInvestorGuy No, not even close to AI
The four most dangerous words in investing are: 'This time it's different’ AI is the most “different” technology in human history. Literally nothing has ever been this different than the previous status quo. The scale of the difference is immense.
Back From the Grave - Groupon $GRPN open.substack.com/pub/shortscorn…
1) That’s a great question as batteries can grow 60% for multiple years, but can the rest of the business keep up? I’d say this, if batteries can grow 60% you have to assume unit growth is growing 60% for UAVs, so rest of system equipment should be able to keep up. 2) Acquisition dilution is actually not bad at all. The pre-acquisition valuation (and current valuation) was very high so the dilution is reasonable
The true AI savings is not optimising productivity, it’s using AI as an excuse to reduce headcount.
overheard from a fortune 20 company - ceo asked for $1 billion in AI generated opex savings at the beginning of this year. the team as a result has spent $200 million on tokens trying to achieve those savings year-to-date, with minimal results other than some modest Cx savings
@RDPandole After the recent selloff it was not priced in, maybe at $10.5 it is but not here. I think the real ramp is still coming though.
@RDPandole I like the Covelya deal as it gives them a full product suite now for UAV companies. They are basically the largest UAV defense prime supplier now.
Very solid. Order growth continues to expand fast. UAV programs are still overall very early into commercialisation, so still very early as to the scale they will get to a few years out. Andruils programs (GhostShark and DiveLD) will drive a lot of the $175m in revenue from 2026. Management has suggested they will likely hit facility capacity at Dartmouth later this year.
Yeah sex is great but have you ever made money on your long book and short book on the same day.
@CPDDOUGH I have almost always regretted this.
If a stock you own goes up 200% in a month with limited fundamental changes it’s a good time to sell it. You can always buy it back when it’s up 300%.
@wrftr @WKleberg45299 It was a bit of a joke.
@ClarkSquareCap Valuation is like 16x EV/EBITDA NTM but that is with zero Genesis revenues. They were at 21% ARR growth in Q1. Stack up FedRamp + US government ARR was flat in 2025 due to government shutdown + Genesis growth you are talking about +30-40% ARR growth exiting 2026.
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