"First: the Reform voters. Among this group, the hatred for Keir Starmer and the government they had all voted for in 2024 was visceral. “I’ve never been lied to like I have been by Keir,” said one man. Other members of the cabinet fared little better. Participants had either not
Great to be back on the cover of the @NewStatesman this week. This time with some exclusive @StrategyMerlin focus groups in Makerfield 👀
Out in print this week!
THE CASUAL COUP by @PronouncedAlva
On the campaign trail with Andy Burnham:
This is a campaign on several levels. Burnham has “a tough fight” against Reform, as I hear him say repeatedly while watching him door-knocking. But he’s also fighting two other implied contests: with a
FPTP used to be criticised for artificially propping up our two party system.
Now, it means that more parties than ever can exert powerful political influence.
I wrote about the new chaos and opportunities of FPTP for this month's @TheCriticMag
First-past-the-post no longer means an electoral carve-up between the Tories and Labour, allowing “fringe” parties real political influence, writes @Scarlett__Magthecritic.co.uk/issues/june-20…
"Weak" "A wet wipe" "Liar".
Voters' verdict on Starmer pre-locals. Our @StrategyMerlin X Charlesbye research showed that the public have already written off Keir Starmer, and that they are looking for change.
Great to have our work featured on @SkyNews this morning with @SophyRidgeSky
🧵Some initial reflections in the lull in English results. Foremost this was yet another change election. People just aren’t happy, they want something different. Unlike previous elections they didn’t respond by flipping from one big party to the other but by rejecting both the
By a 2-1 voters see their vote in today's elections as based on national factors rather than local ones
From our latest @StrategyMerlin X Charlesbye research @MrLeeCain
"Weak" is the most common word used to describe Keir Starmer.
Voters up and down the country and across the political spectrum are damning about the PM:
From our recent large-scale recent project with Charlesbye Strategy @MrLeeCain
Strikingly, less than 14% of those voting Greens or Reform say they would return to Labour and the Conservatives if they failed to deliver.
31% say they'd look for a new party, 27% say they'd stick with Greens/Reform, 11% say they would not vote.
The 'new' image of the Green Party has not filtered down to all voters yet, with many unaware of Polanski and still primarily associating the party with environmental issues.
The 3rd most popular reason for voting Green is 'they represent the radical change the country needs'
But that's not a good thing in the eyes of all voters.
Some view Reform as racist and dangerous, some see them as the least bad vehicle for change out of the options presented to them (but still have hesitations), and some are genuinely enthusiastic about Farage and his party.
Views of the insurgent parties (Greens and Reform) are very different. The voters for these parties are the ones with the most appetite for change and the highest distrust in the system as it is.
Reform and Greens are seen to be more radical than Conservatives and Labour...
Despite Badenoch's recovery, the Conservative brand is still struggling. Voters feel it is "irrelevant" and the party is described as “establishment” and “stuck in the past”.
The Party’s unpopularity is tied closely to government u-turns and a perceived lack of delivery on promises. This was especially true of its handling of the cost-of-living crisis, which most feel has gotten worse since Labour came into power
🧵 We @StrategyMerlin partnered with @MrLeeCain Charlesbye to look at the public mood ahead of the local elections. Across the next few days we will showcase the findings and what they mean for our politics...
10 Followers 55 FollowingInformation is power. Reclaim your human right to free expression.
Vox Populi, Vox Dei
Promoted by Reform UK Millbank Tower, 21-24 Millbank, London, SW1P 4QP
1K Followers 3K FollowingProgrammer in Cambridge. Living back in Essex. Dad. Grandpa. Cyclist. Yogi. Opera lover. Quaker. Atheist. Keen but shite violinist. Too many obsessions to list!
71 Followers 4K FollowingConservative since 1978. Southerner born and raised in the North. British despite years in Europe. Strategic advisor to great and small. Humble generalist.
18K Followers 10K FollowingA 'raging dumpster fire' allegedly .
Once unblocked by Owen Jones for 7 minutes.
Asking all the wrong questions...hold my pint...
7K Followers 4K FollowingDirector of Policy @YIMBYInitiative. Director of Public Affairs @ASI • Fellow @consumerchoicec • Board Member @BuildForBritain • Advisor to @PricedOutUK. VMO.
29K Followers 2K FollowingPolitical Editor at The Sun on Sunday. One Union baron said “she is like a fortune cookie”. [email protected] TikTok: @katefergusonpolitics