TopButton @TopButtonTrades

Trader. Illogic hater. Bias annihilator. United States Joined October 2025

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

8 hours ago

@Chip_CD6 @spencerpratt @KarenBassLA @nithyavraman I believe that shows her w a 38% chance of making the runoff

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

11 hours ago

@Chip_CD6 @spencerpratt @KarenBassLA @nithyavraman This is just flatly incorrect and market pricing reflects it. Go bet huge on Pratt v Bass runoff, you’ll make a fortune.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

11 hours ago

@JamesVLacy1 Baked? You’re baked.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

11 hours ago

@jbkfromnd @henryolsenEPPC It’s not bias, mail in voters are more liberal, it’s very simple.

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@Chip_CD6 @spencerpratt @KarenBassLA @nithyavraman Okay. Raman will crush Pratt in the late arriving mail in ballots. Bass will too. Pratt, and Rs generally, do better w EDay votes and do okay w early in person. Typically always worse on mail. This is true in red states too, it’s not a fraud thing.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

12 hours ago

@GetSmartPi @MayorOfLA @spencerpratt Different ideological groups vote in different ways. Just like they watch different TV, drive different cars, eat different food, etc, etc, etc.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

13 hours ago

@robin_j_brooks I feel you believe commodity markets work like other markets. They are not as driven by forward looking views due to the mechanics of the market. Stocks and bonds and currencies have long, often indefinite time horizons. Commodities have a VERY short window. Plus storage costs!

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

13 hours ago

@robin_j_brooks @CaptainRoyen The symptom itself can become a new disease. Commodities. Are. Different.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

14 hours ago

Just a little excursion.

Rory Johnston @Rory_Johnston

16 hours ago

Labor day… in SEPTEMBER?!

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

16 hours ago

@at196419902002 It’s almost like certain populations of voters vote at certain times in certain ways! These things are all correlated. It’s well known to anyone following this race that conservatives do well early due to having far fewer mail in ballots. Liberals like vote by mail and gain late

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

23 hours ago

Remember that first week, when Graham Platner was just a picture on the internet? Should’ve stuck with that.

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Tom Kloza @TomKloza

a day ago

Last year, gasoline demand in the week following Memorial Day plunged to just 8.263-million b/d. By June 20, it flirted with 9.7-million b/d. Motor fuel consumption is very lumpy in June so don't be quick to declare US demand destruction.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

a day ago

@Apolitical3678 “Yes, yes, let me make up some utter bullshit to deal with the fact that this occurrence completely contradicts my false worldview.” Would’ve been better off ignoring it rather than bringing attention to it with your garbage just-so story.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

2 days ago

Hi DRAFTKINGS, U banned now. Action was taken for consumer risk mgmt purposes based on observed activity indicative of targeting perceived square bettor inefficiencies in manners which may harm squares’ ability to offer the desired experience for their families -Your regulator

BHC @brianhc

2 days ago

@PlusEVAnalytics "You're (marginally) sharp, go away"

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

2 days ago

@Gugabed @PlusEVAnalytics Well that’s fucked

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

2 days ago

@0xbenhooper @celticsburner87 @rennyzucker They def charge a fee, yes

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

2 days ago

@SarazamT @kaliyugacitizen @celticsburner87 @rennyzucker This is incorrect. Mattress Mack has to hedge at multiple books due to size of the wagers when he does this promotion in Houston. Size alone can, and will, get you limited.

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TopButton @TopButtonTrades

2 days ago

@rennyzucker @BoozebagFitness @celticsburner87 No, the diff is the tax treatment on the income. Other difference is the exchange won’t limit their bet size Im not saying this guy is Mattress Mack but the ppl saying “oh Mack does this without Kalshi!” don’t understand that Mack needs to get down money at many different books